SUKUK: UNVEILING THE STRUCTURAL UNDERPINNINGS, YIELD SPREAD DYNAMICS, AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS WITH CONVENTIONAL BONDS IN THE INDONESIAN FINANCIAL LANDSCAPE

Authors

  • Risna Triandhari Triandhari Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia Author
  • Natasya Nisaul Alfani Center for Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia Author
  • Raden Parianom Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33102/2vk7az15

Keywords:

Sukuk, Conventional Bonds, Sukuk Ijarah, Sukuk Mudarabah, Yield Spread

Abstract

This study delves into whether factors influencing credit spreads differ between sukuk and bonds within the vibrant Indonesian secondary market. The research leverages unbalanced panel data encompassing 2017-2023, meticulously obtained from Thomson Reuters Eikon and CEIC. To extract meaningful insights, a Fixed-Effect Model analysis is employed, a robust technique for handling this type of data. The study further conducts a partial analysis to recognize the potential heterogeneity within the sukuk market. This analysis explores explicitly whether the factors driving yield spread exhibit variations between sukuk structured under the ijarah and mudharabah principles. The study's core finding challenges the notion that investors perceive sukuk as a perfect substitute for conventional bonds in terms of the risk-return profile. This is evidenced by the high degree of similarity in the factors that influence the credit spreads of both instruments. However, a fascinating discovery emerges from the partial analysis. It reveals that mudharabah sukuk stands out as a distinct product within the Indonesian secondary debt market compared to its ijarah counterpart. This finding warrants further investigation into the specific characteristics of mudarabah sukuk that contribute to its distinctiveness.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abdullah, R. F. S., & Rahman, A. R. A. (2007). Factors influencing knowledge of Islamic banking services: the case of Malaysian bank managers. Review of Islamic Economics, 11(2), 31

Arellano, C. (2008). Default Risk and Income Fluctuations in Emerging Economies. The American Economic Review, 98(3), 690–712. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.98.3.690

Balasubramnian, B., & Cyree, K. B. (2011). Market discipline of banks: Why are yield spreads on bank-issued subordinated notes and debentures not sensitive to bank risks? Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(1), 21–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.07.015

Bierman, H., & Hass, J. E. (1975). An Analytic Model of Bond Risk Differentials. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 10(5), 757. https://doi.org/10.2307/2330269

Collin-Dufresne, P., Goldstein, R. H., & Martin, J. S. (2001). The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes. Journal of Finance, 56(6), 2177–2207. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00402

David, A. (2007). Inflation Uncertainty, Asset Valuations, and the Credit Spreads Puzzle. Review of Financial Studies, 21(6), 2487–2534. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm041

Duffie, D., & Singleton, K. J. (1999). Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds. Review of Financial Studies, 12(4), 687–720. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/12.4.687

Elhaj, M. a. A. ., Muhamed, N. A., & Ramli, N. M. (2015). The Influence of Corporate Governance, Financial Ratios, and Sukuk Structure on Sukuk Rating. Procedia. Economics and Finance, 31, 62–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(15)01132-6

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(89)90095-0

Fatah, D. A. (2011). Perkembangan Obligasi Syari’ah (Sukuk) di Indonesia: Analisis Peluang dan Tantangan. Innovatio, 10(2). http://www.e-journal.iainjambi.ac.id/index.php/Innovatio/article/download/549/513

Fitrianingsih, A. (2017). Pengaruh Corporate Governance, Struktur Sukuk Dan Cost Of Debt Terhadap Peringkat Sukuk (Studi Kasus pada Perusahaan Penerbit Sukuk di Daftar Efek Syariah Periode 2012-2015.

Flannery, M. J., Nikolova, S. S., & Öztekin, Z. (2012). Leverage Expectations and Bond Credit Spreads. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 47(4), 689–714. https://doi.org/10.1017/s002210901200030

Godlewski, C. J., Turk Ariss, R., & Weill, L. (2011). Do Markets Perceive Sukuk and Conventional Bonds as Different Financing Instruments? SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1833344

Hassan, M. K., Paltrinieri, A., Dreassi, A., Miani, S., & Sclip, A. (2018). The determinants of co-movement dynamics between sukuk and conventional bonds. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 68, 73–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2017.09.003

Heer, C., & Robinson, R. I. (1961). Postwar Market for State and Local Government Securities. Southern Economic Journal, 27(3), 256. https://doi.org/10.2307/1055104

Herzi, A. A. (2016). A Comparative Study of Asset Based and Asset Backed Sukuk from the Shariah Compliance Perspective. The Journal of Muamalat and Islamic Finance Research, 25–34.

Lestari, B. I., & Mahfud, M. K. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Kinerja Keuangan, Ukuran Perusahaan Dan Struktur Sukuk Terhadap Peringkat Sukuk. Jurnal Studi Manajemen Organisasi, 16(2), 32-44.

Marquit, M. (2022, October 17). Plain Vanilla Bonds: Why They May Be Best (C. Rhinehart & M. Reeves, Eds.). Investopedia. https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-advisors/112415/plain-vanilla-bonds-why-they-may-be-best.asp

Merton, R. C. (1974). On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. The Journal of Finance, 29(2), 449. https://doi.org/10.2307/2978814

Peter, M., & Grandes, M. (2005). How important is sovereign risk in determining corporate default premia?: the case of South Africa.

Saeed, M., Elnahass, M., Izzeldin, M., & Tsionas, M. (2021). Yield spread determinants of sukuk and conventional bonds. Economic Modelling, 105, 105664.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105664

Sari, Y. A. P., Afifudin, A., & Mawardi, M. C. (2020). Pengaruh Struktur Sukuk, Umur Sukuk, dan Status Jaminan Sukuk terhadap Peringkat Sukuk Pada Perusahaan Yang Terdaftar Di Daftar Efek Syariah Tahun 2016-2018. e_Jurnal Ilmiah Riset Akuntansi, 9(05).

Sudaryanti, N., Mahfud, A. A., & Wulandari, R. (2014). Analisis determinan peringkat sukuk dan peringkat obligasi di Indonesia. Tazkia Islamic Finance and Business Review, 6(2).

Tang, D. Y., & Yan, H. (2006). Macroeconomic Conditions, Firm Characteristics, and Credit Spreads. Journal of Financial Services Research, 29(3), 177–210. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-006-7625-y

Utami, D. E., Trinugroho, I., & Sergi, B. S. (2019). What Determines Sukuk Issuance Type in Indonesia? International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics. https://doi.org/10.1108/s1571-038620190000026010

Valenzuela, P. (2015). Rollover Risk and Credit Spreads: Evidence from International Corporate Bonds *. European Finance Review, 20(2), 631–661. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfv022

Van Horne, J. C. (1979). Behavior of default-risk premiums for corporate bonds and commercial paper. Journal of Business Research, 7(4), 301–313. https://doi.org/10.1016/0148-2963(79)90009-2

Yap, C. K., & Gannon, G. (2007). Factors Affecting the Credit Spreads Behaviour of USD Malaysian Bonds. Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1009535

Yawitz, J. B., Maloney, K. J., & Ederington, L. H. (1985). Taxes, Default Risk, and Yield Spreads. The Journal of Finance, 40(4), 1127–1140. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb02367.x

Published

2024-11-27

Conference Proceedings Volume

Section

Islamic Banking, Finance and Fintech

How to Cite

SUKUK: UNVEILING THE STRUCTURAL UNDERPINNINGS, YIELD SPREAD DYNAMICS, AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS WITH CONVENTIONAL BONDS IN THE INDONESIAN FINANCIAL LANDSCAPE. (2024). IBAF E-Proceedings, 11(1), 431-444. https://doi.org/10.33102/2vk7az15